The monsoon of 2016 has been an intriguing one. With two droughts in a row (2014 and 2015) hope was running high for a good monsoon. Indeed, all portents at the beginning of the monsoon appeared to be good. Most major forecasting centres predicted the end of El-Nino, a warming in far-off equatorial Pacific that is known to be associated with weakening of monsoon rainfall, and the return of the La-Nina, the cold phase over equatorial Pacific that has been observed to be associated with higher monsoon rainfall.
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