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Model-Based Retrospective Estimates for Covid-19 Orcoronavirus in India: Continued Efforts Required to Contain the Virus Spread


Affiliations
1 Division of Health Economics and Modeling, Department of Population Health Sciences, Medical College of Georgia, Augusta University, Augusta, United States
2 Department of Mathematics, Washington University in St Louis, Campus Box 1146, One Brookings Drive, St Louis, Missouri 63130, India
3 Department of Medicine, Pondicherry institute of Medical Sciences, Puducherry 605 014, India
4 NMIMS University, Mumbai 400 056, India
5 Formerly with CDC, World Bank and USAID
 

India reported having 498 cases COVID-19 (including 40 foreign tourists) as of 23 March 2020 (ref. 1) and out of which 32 cases were recovered and 9 deaths occurred. The number of COVID-19 cases worldwide as of 23 March 2020, was 378,000 with 16,500 deaths2 . Overall more than 1.5 million passengers were screened at airports in India, 17,237 people were clinically tested for COVID-19 as of 22 March 2020 (ref. 1). Although the first case of COVID-19 was reported in India on 30 January 2020, for a student who has returned from Wuhan, China 3 , the confirmed cases started arising from the beginning of March. The government of India was quick to launch various levels of travel advisories beginning from 26 February 2020, with restrictions on travel to China and non-essential travel restrictions to Singapore, South Korea, Iran and Italy3 .
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  • Model-Based Retrospective Estimates for Covid-19 Orcoronavirus in India: Continued Efforts Required to Contain the Virus Spread

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Authors

Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao
Division of Health Economics and Modeling, Department of Population Health Sciences, Medical College of Georgia, Augusta University, Augusta, United States
Steven G. Krantz
Department of Mathematics, Washington University in St Louis, Campus Box 1146, One Brookings Drive, St Louis, Missouri 63130, India
Thomas Kurien
Department of Medicine, Pondicherry institute of Medical Sciences, Puducherry 605 014, India
Ramesh Bhat
NMIMS University, Mumbai 400 056, India
Sudhakar Kurapati
Formerly with CDC, World Bank and USAID

Abstract


India reported having 498 cases COVID-19 (including 40 foreign tourists) as of 23 March 2020 (ref. 1) and out of which 32 cases were recovered and 9 deaths occurred. The number of COVID-19 cases worldwide as of 23 March 2020, was 378,000 with 16,500 deaths2 . Overall more than 1.5 million passengers were screened at airports in India, 17,237 people were clinically tested for COVID-19 as of 22 March 2020 (ref. 1). Although the first case of COVID-19 was reported in India on 30 January 2020, for a student who has returned from Wuhan, China 3 , the confirmed cases started arising from the beginning of March. The government of India was quick to launch various levels of travel advisories beginning from 26 February 2020, with restrictions on travel to China and non-essential travel restrictions to Singapore, South Korea, Iran and Italy3 .

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.18520/cs%2Fv118%2Fi7%2F1023-1025