Dynamical Formalism for Assessment and Projection of Carrying Capacity in Different Socio-Climatic Scenarios

Increase in demand, decline in primary resources and impact of climate change make agricultural sustainability a complex function of many variables. A major gap is a consistent and quantitative formulation for assessment and projection of sustainability. We consider agricultural self-sustainability, defined as the condition of minimum food requirement from domestic production, and present a dynamical model of evolution of its constrained dynamics. The model is then applied to estimate and project agricultural self-sustainability, carrying capacity and import requirement with India as a case study in different socio-climatic scenarios. Unconstrained productivity is considered to determine technology demand for different scenarios.