Prediction of India's Electricity Demand Using Anfis

S. Saravanan; S. Kannan; C. Thangaraj

Prediction of India's Electricity Demand Using Anfis

S. Saravanan ¹, S. Kannan ², C. Thangaraj ³

Affiliations
1 Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Kalasalingam University, India
2 Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Ramco Institute of Technology, India
3 Vignan University, India

This study aims to provide an accurate and realistic prediction model for electricity demand using population, imports, exports, per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and per capita Gross National Income (GNI) data for India. Four different models were used for different combinations of the above five input variables and the effect of input variables on the estimation of electricity demand has been demonstrated. In order to train the network 29 years data and to test the network 9 years data have been used. The future electricity demand for a period of 8 years from 2013 to 2020 has been predicted. The performance of the ANFIS technique is proved to be better than Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN).