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Shrinking the Uncertainty in Online Sales Prediction with Time Series Analysis


Affiliations
1 School of Computing Science and Engineering, VIT University, Chennai, India
     

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In any production environment, processing is centered on the manufacture of products. It is important to get adequate volumes of orders for those products. However, merely getting orders is not enough for the long-term sustainability of multinationals. They need to know the demand for their products well in advance in order to compete and win in a highly competitive market. To assess the demand of a product we need to track its order behavior and predict the future response of customers depending on the present dataset as well as historical dataset. In this paper we propose a systematic, time-series based scheme to perform this task using the Hadoop framework and Holt-Winter prediction function in the R environment to show the sales forecast for forthcoming years.

Keywords

Time Series Analysis, Sales Prediction, Hadoop Distributed File System, Holt-Winters Function, Seasonal and Level Variant.
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  • Shrinking the Uncertainty in Online Sales Prediction with Time Series Analysis

Abstract Views: 181  |  PDF Views: 0

Authors

Rashmi Ranjan Dhal
School of Computing Science and Engineering, VIT University, Chennai, India
B. V. A. N. S. S. Prabhakar Rao
School of Computing Science and Engineering, VIT University, Chennai, India

Abstract


In any production environment, processing is centered on the manufacture of products. It is important to get adequate volumes of orders for those products. However, merely getting orders is not enough for the long-term sustainability of multinationals. They need to know the demand for their products well in advance in order to compete and win in a highly competitive market. To assess the demand of a product we need to track its order behavior and predict the future response of customers depending on the present dataset as well as historical dataset. In this paper we propose a systematic, time-series based scheme to perform this task using the Hadoop framework and Holt-Winter prediction function in the R environment to show the sales forecast for forthcoming years.

Keywords


Time Series Analysis, Sales Prediction, Hadoop Distributed File System, Holt-Winters Function, Seasonal and Level Variant.