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Revisiting the Sustainability of Kerala State Finances
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Using yearly data from 1970-71 to 2015-16, the paper tried to find out whether fiscal sustainability existed in Kerala or not. It also examined whether structural breaks are present in the fiscal policy. Applying cointegration techniques with breaks and no breaks to the inter-temporal budget constraint model, the paper concluded that sustainability of current fiscal policy of Kerala was weak, which implies a long-run risk of debt default in Kerala State finances.
Keywords
Fiscal Sustainability, Kerala, Cointegration, Structural Break.
JEL Classification: C5, E62, H6.
Paper Submission Date: May 23, 2018; Paper Sent Back for Revision: February 13, 2019; Paper Acceptance Date: February 22, 2019.
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