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Specific Macro Factors Affecting Economic Growth During the COVID-19 Pandemic : Evidence from EAGLEs


Affiliations
1 DirectoR, Institute for Research Science and Banking Technology, Banking University HCMC, 36 Ton That Dam, District 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam
2 Lecturer, Ho Chi Minh Industry and Trade College, 20 Tang Nhon Phu, District 9, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam
3 Chief, Faculty of Postgraduate Education, Banking University HCMC, 36 Ton That Dam, District 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam
4 Lecturer, National Academy of Public Administration, 3/2 Street, 12 Ward, 10 District, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam
5 Lecturer, Ho Chi Minh City University of Food Industry, 140 Le Trong Tan Street, Tan Phu District, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam

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The study was conducted to assess the impact of macro factors on economic growth in emerging and growth-leading economies (EAGLEs) during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study applied a Bayesian simulation method, and the empirical results exhibited an ambiguous impact of trade openness and the number of internet users on economic growth in these countries during the COVID-19 outbreak. Besides, in response to the economic downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, countries have loosened monetary and fiscal policies simultaneously. However, policy rate reduction was found to be less efficient in the countries previously applying low-interest rates. The evidence showed that reasonable pandemic control measures formed a basis for fastening economic recovery.

Keywords

COVID-19 Pandemic, Economic Growth, EAGLEs.

JEL Classification Codes : E620, E430, O4.

Paper Submission Date : April 23, 2021 ; Paper SentBack for Revision : June 6, 2021 ; Paper Acceptance Date : August 18, 2021 ; Paper Published Online : March 15, 2022.

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  • Specific Macro Factors Affecting Economic Growth During the COVID-19 Pandemic : Evidence from EAGLEs

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Authors

Nguyen Ngoc Thach
DirectoR, Institute for Research Science and Banking Technology, Banking University HCMC, 36 Ton That Dam, District 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam
Nguyen Tran Xuan Linh
Lecturer, Ho Chi Minh Industry and Trade College, 20 Tang Nhon Phu, District 9, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam
Le Dinh Hac
Chief, Faculty of Postgraduate Education, Banking University HCMC, 36 Ton That Dam, District 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam
Lam Thai Bao Ngoc
Lecturer, National Academy of Public Administration, 3/2 Street, 12 Ward, 10 District, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam
Do Huu Hai
Lecturer, Ho Chi Minh City University of Food Industry, 140 Le Trong Tan Street, Tan Phu District, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam

Abstract


The study was conducted to assess the impact of macro factors on economic growth in emerging and growth-leading economies (EAGLEs) during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study applied a Bayesian simulation method, and the empirical results exhibited an ambiguous impact of trade openness and the number of internet users on economic growth in these countries during the COVID-19 outbreak. Besides, in response to the economic downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, countries have loosened monetary and fiscal policies simultaneously. However, policy rate reduction was found to be less efficient in the countries previously applying low-interest rates. The evidence showed that reasonable pandemic control measures formed a basis for fastening economic recovery.

Keywords


COVID-19 Pandemic, Economic Growth, EAGLEs.

JEL Classification Codes : E620, E430, O4.

Paper Submission Date : April 23, 2021 ; Paper SentBack for Revision : June 6, 2021 ; Paper Acceptance Date : August 18, 2021 ; Paper Published Online : March 15, 2022.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf%2F2022%2Fv16i3%2F168700