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Does Economic Development Affect Public Debt Accumulation ? Empirical Evidence from India


Affiliations
1 Research Scholar, Department of Economics and Finance, BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus, Pilani - 333 031, Rajasthan, India
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics and Finance, BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus, Pilani - 333 031, Rajasthan, India

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The main aim of this paper was to explore various public debt determinants in India using structural equation modeling (SEM). This study is based on secondary data, starting from 1985 – 2018. The study was partially confirmatory and partially exploratory as it also inspected the interaction between economic development and public debt. The findings suggested that, among various macroeconomic variables, debt servicing, inflation, and military expenditure are the key determinants of debt in India. Moreover, as expected, economic development has a negative relation with public debt, suggesting that public debt accumulation tends to decrease with the progress in economic development. It is acknowledged that the improvement in socioeconomic conditions is likely to enhance the overall welfare of the people and thereby create more productive resources in the economy. Therefore, from a policy perspective, we should zero in on internal and debt-related factors.

Keywords

Public Debt, Economic Development, HDI, Structural Equation Modeling, India.

JEL Classification Codes : E6, H6, O1.

Paper Submission Date : May 25, 2021 ; Paper Sent Back for Revision : January 30, 2022 ; Paper Acceptance Date : March 10, 2022 ; Paper Published Online : April 15, 2022.

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  • Does Economic Development Affect Public Debt Accumulation ? Empirical Evidence from India

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Authors

Pratibha Saini
Research Scholar, Department of Economics and Finance, BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus, Pilani - 333 031, Rajasthan, India
Krishna Muniyoor
Assistant Professor, Department of Economics and Finance, BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus, Pilani - 333 031, Rajasthan, India

Abstract


The main aim of this paper was to explore various public debt determinants in India using structural equation modeling (SEM). This study is based on secondary data, starting from 1985 – 2018. The study was partially confirmatory and partially exploratory as it also inspected the interaction between economic development and public debt. The findings suggested that, among various macroeconomic variables, debt servicing, inflation, and military expenditure are the key determinants of debt in India. Moreover, as expected, economic development has a negative relation with public debt, suggesting that public debt accumulation tends to decrease with the progress in economic development. It is acknowledged that the improvement in socioeconomic conditions is likely to enhance the overall welfare of the people and thereby create more productive resources in the economy. Therefore, from a policy perspective, we should zero in on internal and debt-related factors.

Keywords


Public Debt, Economic Development, HDI, Structural Equation Modeling, India.

JEL Classification Codes : E6, H6, O1.

Paper Submission Date : May 25, 2021 ; Paper Sent Back for Revision : January 30, 2022 ; Paper Acceptance Date : March 10, 2022 ; Paper Published Online : April 15, 2022.


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf%2F2022%2Fv16i4%2F169174