Determinants of Trading Decision:An Experiential Examination
Subscribe/Renew Journal
In the midst of increasing globalization, the past two decades have observed huge inflow of outside capital in the shape of direct and portfolio investment. The increase in capital mobility is due to contact between the different economies across the globe. The growing liberalization in the capital market leads to the growth of various financial products and services. Over the past decade, the Indian capital market has witnessed numerous changes in the direction of developing the capital markets more robust. With the growing Indian economy, the larger inflow of funds has been fetched into the capital markets. The government is continuously working on investor’s education in order to increase retail participation in the Indian stock market. The habits of the risk-averse middle class have been changing where these investors started participating in the Indian stock market. It is an explored fact that human beings are irrational and considering this fact becomes imperative to investigate factors that influence the trading decisions.
In this research, ‘an attempt has been made to investigate various factors that affect the individual trading decision’. The data has been collected from various stockbroking firms and from clients of those stockbroking firms their opinions were recorded by means of a questionnaire. Data collected through the structured questionnaire, 33 questions were prepared which was given to the 330 respondents on the basis of convenience sampling out of which 220 individuals filled questionnaire, the total of 200 questionnaires was included in the study after eliminating the incomplete questionnaire. Various factors are being explored from the literature and then with the help of factor analysis some of the most influential factors have been explored. Factors like overconfidence, optimism, cognitive bias, herd behavior, advisory effect, and idealism are the factors which influenced the trading decision of the investors the most. Such kind of a study is contributing in the area of behavioral finance as a trading decision is an important aspect while investing in the stock market. And this kind of study would be helping and assisting financial advisors to strategies for their clients in making the right allocation and also the policy maker and market regulators to come up with better reforms for the Indian stock markets.
Keywords
- Arrow, K. J. (1971). The theory of risk aversion. In Essays in the theory of risk-bearing, (pp. 90–120). Chicago, IL: Markham.
- Aruna, P., & Rajashekar, H. (2016). Factors influencing investment decisions of retail investors: A descriptive study. International Journal of Business and Management Invention, 5(12), 6–9.
- Banerjee, A. V. (1992). A simple model of herd behavior. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(3), 797–817.
- Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261–292.
- Benartzi, S., & Thaler, R. H. (2002). How much is investor autonomy worth?. The Journal of Finance, 57(4), 1593–1616.
- Bhatia, G. (2018). An unlikely class of investors is riding the Indian stock market. Retrieved from March 7, 2018 https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/07/an-unlikelyclass-of-investors-is-riding-the-indian-stockmarket.html
- Devenow, A., & Welch, I. (1996). Rational herding in financial economics. European Economic Review, 40(3–5), 603–615.
- Dorn, D., & Huberman, G. (2005). Talk and action: What individual investors say and what they do. Review of Finance, 9(4), 437–481.
- Glaser, M., & Weber, M. (2007). Overconfidence and trading volume. The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, 32(1), 1–36.
- Griffin, D., & Tversky, A. (1992). The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence. Cognitive Psychology, 24(3), 411–435.
- Harris, P., & Middleton, W. (1994). The illusion of control and optimism about health: On being less at risk but no more in control than others. British Journal of Social Psychology, 33(4), 369–386.
- Heger, S. A., & Papageorge, N. W. (2013). We should totally open a restaurant: performance uncertainty and optimistic beliefs. SSRN, Saint Louis. Retrieved from http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn, 2348410
- Javaira, Z., & Hassan, A. (2015). An examination of herding behavior in Pakistani stock market. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 10(3), 474-490.
- Kabra, G., Mishra, P. K., & Dash, M. K. (2010). Factors influencing investment decision of generations in India: An econometric study. Asian Journal of Man agement Research, 4, 305–326
- Kahneman, D., & Riepe, M. W. (1998). Aspects of investor psychology. Journal of Portfolio Management, 24(4), 52–65.
- Kyle, A. S., & Wang, F. A. (1997). Speculation duopoly with agreement to disagree: Can overconfidence survive the market test?. The Journal of Finance, 52(5), 2073–2090.
- Manglik, G. (2006). Countering over-confidence and over-optimism by creating awareness and experiential learning amongst stock market players. Retrieved from http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.954861
- Moore, D. A., & Healy, P. J. (2008). The trouble with overconfidence. Psychological Review, 115(2), 502.
- Odean, T. (1998). Volume, volatility, price, and profit when all traders are above average. The Journal of Finance, 53(6), 1887–1934.
- Olsen, R. A. (1998). Behavioral finance and its implications for stock-price volatility. Financial Analysts Journal, 10–18.
- Papantonis, I. (2016). Cointegration-based trading: Evidence on index tracking & market-neutral strategies. Managerial Finance, 42(5), 449–471.
- Patel, S. (2012). Economic optimism, information uncertainty and future investment decisions: Evidence from the mutual fund industry. Retrieved from http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2021971
- Pech, W., & Milan, M. (2009). Behavioral economics and the economics of Keynes. The Journal of Socio-Economics, 38(6), 891–902.
- Pulford, B. D., & Colman, A. M. (1997). Overconfidence: Feedback and item difficulty effects. Personality and Individual Differences, 23(1), 125–133.
- Sarwar, A., & Afaf, G. (2016). A comparison between psychological and economic factors affecting individual investor’s decision-making behavior. Cogent Business & Management, 3(1), Article no. 1232907.
- Sashikala, P., & Girish, G. P. (2015). Factors influencing retail investor’s trading behavior in Indian equity market. International Journal of Business and Management, 10(11), 206.
- Sharma, A., & Seth, N. (2012). Literature review of stock market integration: A global perspective. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 4(1), 84–122.
- Shefrin, H., & Statman, M. (1985). The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers too long: Theory and evidence. The Journal of Finance, 40(3), 777–790.
- Thaler, R. H. (1999). Mental accounting matters. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 12(3), 183–206.
- Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124–1131.
- Wolman, B. B. (1973). Dictionary of behavioral science. Oxford, England: Van Nostrand Reinhold.
- Wood, R., & Zaichkowsky, J. L. (2004). Attitudes and trading behavior of stock market investors: A segmentation approach. The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 5(3), 170–179.
Abstract Views: 276
PDF Views: 0