Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access
Open Access Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Restricted Access Subscription Access

Market-timing Performance of the Open-ended Income and Growth Mutual Fund Schemes: An Empirical Study


Affiliations
1 Department of Commerce, Rabindra Mahavidyalaya, Champadanga, Hooghly, West Bengal, India
2 Department of Commerce, The University of Burdwan, Golapbag Campus, Burdwan, West Bengal, India
     

   Subscribe/Renew Journal


The present study seeks to examine the markettiming performance of the open-ended income and growth mutual fund schemes' managers in India over the period from January 2001 to December 2011. The data for the proposed study are obtained from the website of Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI). Here, Treynor and Mazuy model is used. However, the empirical findings bring out that the market-timing performances of both types of schemes are not statistically significant. It is also observed from the analysis that eight schemes are statistically significant. Consequently, the average market-timing performance is also unsatisfactory for the income (0.007) as well as growth (-0.095) schemes. But, the mean test reveals that they are approximately equal performers. On the whole, owing to the insignificant market-timing performance, the fund managers of both types of schemes have failed to earn abnormal rate of return by applying the strategy of market outguessing from the volatile capital market. This speaks against the superior market-timing ability of the open-ended mutual fund managers in India.

Keywords

Mutual Fund, Performance Evaluation, Market-timing, Treynor and Mazuy Model, BSE Sensex
Subscription Login to verify subscription
User
Notifications
Font Size

  • Backer, C., Ferson, W. E., Mayers, D. H. & Schill, M. J. (1999). Conditional market timing with benchmark investors. Journal of Financial Economics, 52(1), 119-148.
  • Bhalla, V. K. (2005). Security Analysis and Portfolio Management. New Delhi: Sultan Chand & Company Ltd.
  • Choudhary, K. (2007). The components of investment performance of fund managers: evidences from Indian capital market. Abhigyan Journal, 52(2), 16-27.
  • Chander, R. (2002). An evaluation of portfolio performance components across fund characteristics. Finance India, December, 26(4), 1377-1391.
  • Chang, E. C. & Lewellen, W. G. (1984). Market timing and mutual fund investment performance. Journal of Business, 1, 57-71.
  • Drew, M. E., Veerereghvan, M. & Wilson, V. (2005). Market timing, selectivity and alpha generation evidence from Australian equity superannuation funds. Investment Management Financial Innovations, 111-127.
  • Fama, E. F. (1972). Components of investment performance. The Journal of Finance, June, 27(3), 551-567.
  • Gupta, A. (2002). Market timing abilities of Indian mutual fund manager. The ICFAI Journal of Applied Finance, April, 6(2), 1243-1250.
  • Henrikson, R. & Merton, R. (1981). On market timing and investment performance II. Statistical procedures for evaluating forecasting skills. The Journal of Business, October, 54, 513-533.
  • Henrikson, R. (1984). Market timing and mutual fund performance: An empirical investigation. Journal of Business, 57(1), 73-96.
  • Harvey, G. (1996). Market timing ability and volatility implied in investment newsletters’ asset allocation recommendations. Journal of Financial Economics, 42(3), 397-421.
  • Irissappane, D., Murugaesan, B. & Chandrasekara, K. (2003). Portfolio selection skill and timing abilities of fund managers: An empirical evidence on Indian mutual funds. Website of UTI capital market.
  • Jagannathan & Korajczyk. (1986). Assessing the market timing performance of managed portfolios. Journal of Business, April, 59(2), 217-235.
  • Jayadev, M. (1996). Mutual fund performance: An analysis of monthly returns. Finance India, March, 10(1), 73-84.
  • Kon, S. (1983). The market timing performance of mutual fund managers. The Journal of Business, 56(3), 323-347.
  • Kon, S. J. & Jen, F. C. (1979). The investment performance of mutual funds: An empirical investigation of timing, selectivity and market efficiency. Journal of Business, April, 52(2), 263-289.
  • Lee, C. & Rahaman, S. (1990). Market timing, selectivity and mutual fund performance: An empirical investigation. Journal of Business, 63(2), 261-278.
  • Merton, R. (1981). On market timing and investment performance: An equilibrium theory of value for market forecasts. Journal of Business, 54(3), 363-406.
  • Rao, K. V. & Venkateswarlu, K. (2000). Market timing abilities of fund managers case study of unit trust of India. Indian Capital Markets, 55-66.
  • Sadhak, H. (1996). Mutual Funds in India: Marketing Strategies and Investment Practices. New Delhi: Sage Publications.
  • Treynor, J. L. & Mazuy, K. K. (1966). Can mutual funds outguess the market? Harvard Business Review, 131-13.
  • Tripathy, N. (2006). Market timing abilities and mutual fund performance-An empirical investigation into equity linked saving schemes. Vilakshan, XIMB Journal of Management, 127-138.

Abstract Views: 332

PDF Views: 0




  • Market-timing Performance of the Open-ended Income and Growth Mutual Fund Schemes: An Empirical Study

Abstract Views: 332  |  PDF Views: 0

Authors

Subrata Roy
Department of Commerce, Rabindra Mahavidyalaya, Champadanga, Hooghly, West Bengal, India
Shantanu Kumar Ghosh
Department of Commerce, The University of Burdwan, Golapbag Campus, Burdwan, West Bengal, India

Abstract


The present study seeks to examine the markettiming performance of the open-ended income and growth mutual fund schemes' managers in India over the period from January 2001 to December 2011. The data for the proposed study are obtained from the website of Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI). Here, Treynor and Mazuy model is used. However, the empirical findings bring out that the market-timing performances of both types of schemes are not statistically significant. It is also observed from the analysis that eight schemes are statistically significant. Consequently, the average market-timing performance is also unsatisfactory for the income (0.007) as well as growth (-0.095) schemes. But, the mean test reveals that they are approximately equal performers. On the whole, owing to the insignificant market-timing performance, the fund managers of both types of schemes have failed to earn abnormal rate of return by applying the strategy of market outguessing from the volatile capital market. This speaks against the superior market-timing ability of the open-ended mutual fund managers in India.

Keywords


Mutual Fund, Performance Evaluation, Market-timing, Treynor and Mazuy Model, BSE Sensex

References