Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access
Open Access Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Restricted Access Subscription Access

Linkage between Stock Volatility and Corporate Bond Yield Spread in Singapore


Affiliations
1 Assistant Professor, Nottingham University Business School, Malaysian Campus, Malaysia
     

   Subscribe/Renew Journal


This paper aims to analyse the correlation between stock volatility and the corporate bond yield spreads in the Singapore Bond Market. For analysis purpose and to substantiate the findings the paper will make use of the Real Estate and Banking Sector of Singapore bond market for period of year 2000 - 2010. To capture the effect of equity volatility, Singaporean government security (SGS) interest rate and credit rating on corporate bond yield spread, OLS regression analysis was performed. Our findings concluded that the stock volatility is significantly correlated with the bond yield spread with an overall positive relationship in the presence of the credit rating and SGS interest rate spread. The analysis also concludes that the stock volatility has the highest explaining power to the yield spreads. The findings indicated that the stock volatility is very much significant in explaining the bond yield spreads with a positive correlation and is also the most powerful determinant of the yield spread.

Keywords

Stock Volatility, Corporate Bond Yield Spread, Market Risk
Subscription Login to verify subscription
User
Notifications
Font Size

  • Black, F. and Scholes, M. (1973), “The Pricing of Options and Corporate liabilities”, Journal of Political Economy, 81, 637-654
  • Blume, M.E., Lim F., and MacKinlay A.C., (1998), “The Declining Credit Quality of U.S. Corporate Debt: Myth or Reality?”, Journal of Finance, 53, 1389-1413.
  • Campbell, J. Y. and Taksler, G. B. (2003), “Equity Volatility and Corporate Bond Yields”, The Journal of Finance, 58, 2321-2349
  • Campbell, J.Y. Lo, A. and MacKinlay, A.C. (1997), “The Econometrics of Financial Markets”, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ
  • Campbell, J.Y., Lettau M., Malkiel, B.G. and Xu Y. (2001), “Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Explanation of Idiosyncratic Risk”, Journal of Finance, 56, 1-43
  • Collin-Dufresne, P. Goldstein R.S. and Martin S. (2001), “The Determinants of Credit Spread Changes”Journal of Finance, 56, 2177-2207
  • Donald B. Keim, Robert F. Stambaugh (1986) “Predicting Returns in the Stock and Bond Markets”, Journal of Financial Economics, 17
  • Duffee, G. R. (1998), “The Relationship between Treasury Yields and Corporate Bond Yield Spreads”, Journal of Finance, 53, 2225-2241
  • Ederington, H. L, Yawitz J.B. and Roberts B.E. (1984), “The Information Content of Bond Ratings”, Working Paper No. 1323, National Bureau of Economic Research
  • Ederington, H. L, Yawitz J.B. and Roberts B.E. (1987), “The Informational Content of Bond Ratings”, Journal of Financial Research, 10, 211–226
  • Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, (1993), “Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds”, Journal of Financial Economics 33, 3–56.
  • Gebhardt, William R., Soeren Hvidkjaer and Bhaskaran Swaminathan, (2005), “Stock and Bond Market Interaction: Does momentum spill over”, Journal of Financial Economics 75, 651-690
  • Griffin, Paul A, and Antonio Z. Sanvicente, (1982), “Common Stock Returns and Rating Changes: A Methodological Comparison”, Journal of Finance 37, 103-119.
  • Guha, Debashis, and Lorene Hiris, (2002), “The Aggregate Credit Spread and the Business Cycle”, International Review of Financial Analysis 11, 219-227.
  • Huang, J. and Huang, M. (2000), “How Much of The Corporate-Treasury Yield Spread is Due to Credit Risk?” Unpublished paper, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University
  • Kim Hiang Liow (1997) “The Historical Performance of Singapore Property Stocks”, Journal of Property Finance, 8, 111-125.
  • Kim, Sangbae and Francis In, (2007), “On the Relationship between Changes in Stock Prices and Bond Yields in the G7 countries: Wavelet Analysis”, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institution and Money 17, 167-179.
  • Kisgen, D.J. (2006), “Credit Ratings and Capital Structure”, Journal of Finance, 61, 1035–1072
  • Klinger, D. Sarig, O. (2000) “The Information Value of Bond Ratings”, Journal of Finance, 12, 2879-2902
  • Kwan, S. (1996), “Firm-Specific Information and the Correlation between Individual Stocks and Bonds”, Journal of Financial Economic, 40, 63-80
  • Leland, H. E. (1994), “Optimal Capital Structure, Endogenous Bankruptcy, and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads”, Journal of Finance, 49, 1213-1252
  • Longstaff, F.A. and Schwartz E.S. (1995), “A Simple Approach to Valuing Risky Fixed and Floating Rate Debt”, Journal of Finance, 50, 789-819
  • Longstaff, Francis A., Sanjay Mithal, and Eric Neis, (2005), “Corporate Yield Spreads: Default Risk or Liquidity Risk? New evidence from the Credit Default Swap Market”, Journal of Finance 5, 2213-2253
  • Merton, Robert C., (1974), “On the pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates”, Journal of Finance 29, 449-470.
  • Seong-Eng Ong, Joseph Ooi and Tien Foo Sing (2000), “Asset Securitization in Singapore: A Tale of Three Vehicles”, Journal of Real Estate Finance.
  • Tsuji, Chikashi, (2005), “The Credit Spread Puzzle”, Journal of International Money and Finance 24, 1073-1089.
  • Wakeman, M. (1981), “The Real Function of Bond Rating Agencies”, Chase Financial Quarterly 1: 19 - 25

Abstract Views: 272

PDF Views: 0




  • Linkage between Stock Volatility and Corporate Bond Yield Spread in Singapore

Abstract Views: 272  |  PDF Views: 0

Authors

Nafis Alam
Assistant Professor, Nottingham University Business School, Malaysian Campus, Malaysia

Abstract


This paper aims to analyse the correlation between stock volatility and the corporate bond yield spreads in the Singapore Bond Market. For analysis purpose and to substantiate the findings the paper will make use of the Real Estate and Banking Sector of Singapore bond market for period of year 2000 - 2010. To capture the effect of equity volatility, Singaporean government security (SGS) interest rate and credit rating on corporate bond yield spread, OLS regression analysis was performed. Our findings concluded that the stock volatility is significantly correlated with the bond yield spread with an overall positive relationship in the presence of the credit rating and SGS interest rate spread. The analysis also concludes that the stock volatility has the highest explaining power to the yield spreads. The findings indicated that the stock volatility is very much significant in explaining the bond yield spreads with a positive correlation and is also the most powerful determinant of the yield spread.

Keywords


Stock Volatility, Corporate Bond Yield Spread, Market Risk

References