A Study on Wealth Management During Crisis : An Empirical Study Using Downside Risk Approach in India
Subscribe/Renew Journal
Purpose : The present study identified the factors influencing shareholders' wealth during a crisis like COVID-19. The growing importance of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in shareholders' minds leads to identifying new important factors that ruin wealth during a downturn. Hence, the present study is a humble attempt to find such a factor identified as downside beta.
Methodology : The main independent factor, namely market risk premium, is very popular as CAPM of equity returns. The importance of protecting wealth becomes more important than creating wealth. This leads to considering only downside market movement to understand equity returns in the current study. Furthermore, a proposed model was introduced as Downside CAPM (D-CAPM). D-CAPM structural changes were captured during COVID-19 by taking data from April 1, 2019 – March 31, 2020, and April 1, 2020 – March 31, 2021.
Findings : We found that the slope of the relationship relatively showed more sensitivity to downside movement. However, individual stocks' slope of relationship improved after COVID-19. It showed improved return sensitivity after the COVID-19 scenario, even when the market turned negative.
Practical Implications : The outcome of this study will aid investors, investment advisors, portfolio managers, and others in protecting and managing their wealth even during a crisis using the DCAPM method.
Originality : Unlike prior research on D-CAPM, this study attempts to capture structural changes in the model during COVID-19 in India.
Keywords
wealth management, COVID-19, DCAPM, India, NIFTY50
JEL Classification Codes : G10, G11, G15
- Aggarwal, R. (2017). The Fama-French three factor model and the capital asset pricing model: Evidence from the Indian stock market. Indian Journal of Research in Capital Markets, 4(2), 36–47. http://doi.org/10.17010/ijrcm/2017/v4/i2/116087
- Anwar, M., & Kumar, S. (2018). CAPM - Empirical evidence from the Indian stock market. Indian Journal of Research in Capital Markets, 5(4), 38–52. http://doi.org/10.17010/ijrcm/2018/v5/i4/141546
- Ayub, U., Kausar, S., Noreen, U., Zakaria, M., & Jadoon, I. A. (2020). Downside risk-based sixfactor capital asset pricing model (CAPM): A new paradigm in asset pricing. Sustainability, 12(17), 6756. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12176756
- Bouri, E., Lucey, B., & Roubaud, D. (2020). Cryptocurrencies and the downside risk in equity investments. Finance Research Letters, 33, 101211. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.06.009
- Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992). The cross-section of expected stock returns. Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427–465. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04398.x
- Fama, E. F., & MacBeth, J. D. (1973). Risk, return, and equilibrium: Empirical tests. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 607–636. http://www.jstor.org/stable/1831028
- Girardi, G, & Ergün, A. T. (2013). Systemic risk measurement: Multivariate GARCH estimation of CoVaR. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37(8), 3169–3180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.02.027
- Jensen, M. C., Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1972). The capital asset pricing model: Some empirical tests. https://ssrn.com/abstract=908569
- Ji, Q., Zhang, D., & Zhao, Y. (2020). Searching for safe-haven assets during the COVID-19 pandemic. International Review of Financial Analysis, 71, 101526. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2020.101526
- Kayo, E. K., Martelanc, R., Brunaldi, E. O., & da Silva, W. E. (2020). Capital asset pricing model, beta stability, and the pricing puzzle of electricity transmission in Brazil. Energy Policy, 142, 111485. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111485
- Rabha, D., & Singh, R. G. (2022). Is CAPM still valid in today's market scenario? Indian Journal of Finance, 16(5), 57–68. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2022/v16i5/169518
- Reboredo, J. C., & Ugolini, A. (2016). The impact of downward/upward oil price movements on metal prices. Resources Policy, 49, 129–141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2016.05.006
- Roy, A. D. (1952). Safety first and the holdings of assets. Econometrica, 20(3), 431–449. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907413
- Shahzad, S. J., Mensi, W., Hammoudeh, S., Rehman, M. U., & Al-Yahyaee, K. H. (2018). Extreme dependence and risk spillovers between oil and Islamic stock markets. Emerging Markets Review, 34, 42–63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2017.10.003
- Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425–442. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x
Abstract Views: 173
PDF Views: 0