Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Optimized Preprocessing Using Time Variant Particle Swarm Optimization (TVPSO) and Deep Learning on Rainfall Data


Affiliations
1 Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Srinivasa Ramanujan Centre, SASTRA Deemed to be University, Kumbakonam 612 001, Tamil Nadu, India
 

In the recent past, rainfall prediction has played a significant role in the meteorology department. Changes in rainfall might affect the world's manufacturing and service sectors. Rainfall prediction is a substantial progression in giving input data for weather information and hydrological development applications. In machine learning, accurate and efficient rainfall predictionis used to support strategy for watershed management. The prediction of rain is a problematic occurrence and endures to be a challenging task. This paper implements a novel algorithm for preprocessing and optimization using historical weather from a collection of various weather parameters. The Moving Average-Probabilistic Regression Filtering (MV-PRF) method eliminates unwanted samples with less amplitude from the database. The Time Variant Particle Swarm Optimization (TVPSO) model optimizes the preprocessing rainfall data. Then this optimized data is used for the different classification processes. The preprocessing methods emphasize the recent rainfall data of the time series to improve the rainfall forecast using classification methods. Machine Learning (ML) technique classifies the weather parameters to predict rainfall daily or monthly. These experimental results show that the proposed methods are efficient and accurate for rainfall analysis.

Keywords

Classification, Machine Learning, Optimization, Rainfall Prediction, Time Series.
User
Notifications
Font Size

  • Chen H, Chandrasekar V, Cifelli R & Xie P, A machine learning system for precipitation estimation using satellite and ground radar network observations, IEEE Trans Geosci Remote Sens, 58(2) (2019) 982–994.
  • Zhang P, Jia Y, Gao J, Song W & Leung H, Short-term rainfall forecasting using multilayer perceptron, IEEE Trans Big Data, 6(1) (2018) 93–106.
  • Bartoletti N, Casagli F, Marsili-Libelli S, Nardi A & Palandri L, Data-driven rainfall/runoff modelling based on a neuro-fuzzy inference system, Environ Model Softw, 106 (2018) 35–47.
  • Ananth J P, MapReduce and optimized deep network for rainfall prediction in agriculture, Compu J, 63(6) (2020) 900–912.
  • Al-Saman A M, Cheffena M, Mohamed M, Azmi M H & Ai Y, Statistical analysis of rain at millimeter waves in tropical area, IEEE Access, 8 (2020) 51044–51061, DOI: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.2979683.
  • Tran Anh D, Duc Dang T & Pham Van S, Improved rainfall prediction using combined preprocessing methods and feed-forward neural networks, J, 2(1) (2019) 65–83, https://doi.org/10.3390/j2010006.
  • Koolagudi S G, Long-range prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall using data mining and statistical approaches, Theor Appl Climatol, 130(1) (2017) 19–33, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1862-2.
  • Hewage P, Trovati M, Pereira E & Behera A, Deep learning-based effective fine-grained weather forecasting model, Pattern Anal Applic, 24(1) (2021) 343–366, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10044-020-00898-1
  • Aguasca-Colomo R, Castellanos-Nieves D & Méndez A, Comparative analysis of rainfall prediction models using machine learning in islands with complex orography: Tenerife Island, Appl Sci, 9(22) (2019) 4931.
  • Yu N & Haskins T, Bagging machine learning algorithms: A generic computing framework based on machine-learning methods for regional rainfall forecasting in upstate New York, Informatics, 8(3) (2021) 47.
  • Hussein E A, Ghaziasgar M, Thron C, Vaccari M & Bagula A, Basic statistical estimation outperforms machine learning in monthly prediction of seasonal climatic parameters, Atmosphere, 12(5) (2021) 539.
  • Anochi J A, de Almeida V A & de Campos Velho H F, Machine learning for climate precipitation prediction modeling over South America, Remote Sens, 13(13) (2021) 2468.
  • Yan J, Xu T, Yu Y & Xu H, Rainfall forecast model based on the tabnet model, Water, 13(9) (2021) 1272.
  • Chhetri M, Kumar S, Pratim Roy P & Kim B G, Deep BLSTM-GRU model for monthly rainfall prediction: A case study of Simtokha, Bhutan, Remote Sens, 12(19) (2020) 3174.
  • Bouget V, Béréziat D, Brajard J, Charantonis A & Filoche A, Fusion of rain radar images and wind forecasts in a deep learning model applied to rain nowcasting, Remote Sens, 13(2) (2021) 246.
  • Dewitte S, Cornelis J P, Müller R & Munteanu A, Artificial intelligence revolutionises weather forecast, climate monitoring and decadal prediction, Remote Sens, 13(16) (2021) 3209.
  • Adewoyin R A, Dueben P, Watson P, He Y & Dutta R, TRU-NET: a deep learning approach to high resolution prediction of rainfall, Mach Learn, 110(8) (2021) 2035–2062.
  • Du J, Liu Y, Yu Y & Yan W, A prediction of precipitation data based on support vector machine and particle swarm optimization (PSO-SVM) algorithms, Algorithms, 10(2) (2017) 57.
  • Kaloop M R, Kumar D, Samui P, Gabr A R, Hu J W, Ji, X & Roy B, Particle swarm optimization algorithm-extreme learning machine (PSO-ELM) model for predicting resilient modulus of stabilized aggregate bases, Appl Sci, 9(16) (2019) 3221.
  • Ebtehaj I, Bonakdari H, Zeynoddin M, Gharabaghi B & Azari A, Evaluation of preprocessing techniques for improving the accuracy of stochastic rainfall forecast models, Int J Envi Sci Tech, 17(1) (2020) 505–524.
  • Tikhamarine Y, Souag-Gamane D, Ahmed A N, Sammen S S, Kisi O, Huang Y F & El-Shafie A, Rainfall-runoff modelling using improved machine learning methods: Harris hawks optimizer vs. particle swarm optimization, J Hydrol, 589 (2020) 125133.
  • Fereidoon M, Koch M & Brocca L, Predicting rainfall and runoff through satellite soil moisture data and SWAT modelling for a poorly gauged basin in Iran, Water, 11(3) (2019) 594, https://doi.org/10.3390/w11030594.
  • Moon T K & Gunther J H, Estimation of autoregressive parameters from noisy observations using iterated covariance updates, Entropy, 22(5) (2020) 572.
  • Du J, Liu Y, Yu Y & Yan W, A prediction of precipitation data based on support vector machine and particle swarm optimization (PSO-SVM) algorithms, Algorithms, 10(2) (2017) 57.
  • Du J, Liu Y & Liu Z, Study of precipitation forecast based on deep belief networks, Algorithms, 11(9) (2018) 132.
  • Haidar A &Verma B, Monthly rainfall forecasting using one-dimensional deep convolutional neural network, IEEE Access, 6 (2018) 69053–69063.
  • Agrawal A K, Shrivas A K & Awasthi V K, A Robust model for handwritten digit recognition using machine and deep learning technique, in IEEE 2nd Int Conf Emerg Technol (INCET) (2021) pp 1–4, doi: 10.1109/INCET51464.2021.9456118.
  • Hernández E, Sanchez-Anguix V, Julian V, Palanca J & Duque N, Rainfall prediction: A deep learning approach, in Int Conf Hybrid Artif Intell Syst (Springer, Cham), 2016, 151–162.
  • Patel D P, Patel M M & Patel D R, Implementation of ARIMA model to predict Rain Attenuation for KU-band 12 Ghz Frequency, IOSR J Electron Commun Eng (IOSR-JECE), 9(1) (2014) 83–87.
  • Graham A & Mishra E P, Time series analysis model to forecast rainfall for Allahabad region, J Pharmacogn Phytochem, 6(5) (2017) 1418–1421.

Abstract Views: 442

PDF Views: 80




  • Optimized Preprocessing Using Time Variant Particle Swarm Optimization (TVPSO) and Deep Learning on Rainfall Data

Abstract Views: 442  |  PDF Views: 80

Authors

Umamaheswari P
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Srinivasa Ramanujan Centre, SASTRA Deemed to be University, Kumbakonam 612 001, Tamil Nadu, India
V Ramaswamy
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Srinivasa Ramanujan Centre, SASTRA Deemed to be University, Kumbakonam 612 001, Tamil Nadu, India

Abstract


In the recent past, rainfall prediction has played a significant role in the meteorology department. Changes in rainfall might affect the world's manufacturing and service sectors. Rainfall prediction is a substantial progression in giving input data for weather information and hydrological development applications. In machine learning, accurate and efficient rainfall predictionis used to support strategy for watershed management. The prediction of rain is a problematic occurrence and endures to be a challenging task. This paper implements a novel algorithm for preprocessing and optimization using historical weather from a collection of various weather parameters. The Moving Average-Probabilistic Regression Filtering (MV-PRF) method eliminates unwanted samples with less amplitude from the database. The Time Variant Particle Swarm Optimization (TVPSO) model optimizes the preprocessing rainfall data. Then this optimized data is used for the different classification processes. The preprocessing methods emphasize the recent rainfall data of the time series to improve the rainfall forecast using classification methods. Machine Learning (ML) technique classifies the weather parameters to predict rainfall daily or monthly. These experimental results show that the proposed methods are efficient and accurate for rainfall analysis.

Keywords


Classification, Machine Learning, Optimization, Rainfall Prediction, Time Series.

References