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Solar Radiation Forecasting for Moderate Climatic Zone


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1 Central Power Research Institute, Bangalore – 560 080, Karnataka, India
     

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The challenge with solar energy prediction is that the solar radiation is intermittent and uncontrollable. Energy forecasting can be used to mitigate some of the challenges that arise from the uncertainty in the resource. Weather data was sourced from India Meteorological Department for Bangalore and Chennai location. This paper provides statistical approach to predict the solar power in future. Analysis was done for different predictive models; Multiple Regression Model is used as we have multiple inputs. The results indicate the prediction of solar radiation has better accuracy during higher irradiation period rather than lower irradiation period.

Keywords

Irradiation, Multiple Regression, Solar Forecasting, Solar Radiation.
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  • Solar Radiation Forecasting for Moderate Climatic Zone

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Authors

N. Archana Kesarkar
Central Power Research Institute, Bangalore – 560 080, Karnataka, India
K. Jeykishan Kumar
Central Power Research Institute, Bangalore – 560 080, Karnataka, India
N. Rajkumar
Central Power Research Institute, Bangalore – 560 080, Karnataka, India

Abstract


The challenge with solar energy prediction is that the solar radiation is intermittent and uncontrollable. Energy forecasting can be used to mitigate some of the challenges that arise from the uncertainty in the resource. Weather data was sourced from India Meteorological Department for Bangalore and Chennai location. This paper provides statistical approach to predict the solar power in future. Analysis was done for different predictive models; Multiple Regression Model is used as we have multiple inputs. The results indicate the prediction of solar radiation has better accuracy during higher irradiation period rather than lower irradiation period.

Keywords


Irradiation, Multiple Regression, Solar Forecasting, Solar Radiation.

References





DOI: https://doi.org/10.33686/pwj.v15i1.149517