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The Impacts of Climate Change on Tamil Nadu Rainfed Maize Production:A Multi-Model Approach to Identify Sensitivities and Uncertainties


Affiliations
1 Department of Environmental Studies, New York University, New York, United States
2 Agro Climate Research Centre, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore 641 003, India
 

This study evaluates the impacts of climate change on maize yields in Tamil Nadu, and assesses the efficacy of adaptation strategies, using a novel multi-climate, multi-crop model approach based on AgMIP Protocols (www.agmip.org). While the climate models displayed consistent changes to rainfall and temperature, substantial uncertainty exists between the different climate-crop model responses that warrant further study. Adaptation strategies proved beneficial under a current climate context, but showed diminished efficacy under future climate conditions. We recommend that future work focus on identifying the main sources of climate-crop model uncertainty, and that additional work may focus on more transformative adaptation measures.

Keywords

Adaptation, Climate Change, Crop Model, Climate Model, Maize.
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  • The Impacts of Climate Change on Tamil Nadu Rainfed Maize Production:A Multi-Model Approach to Identify Sensitivities and Uncertainties

Abstract Views: 365  |  PDF Views: 136

Authors

Sonali McDermid
Department of Environmental Studies, New York University, New York, United States
R. Gowtham
Agro Climate Research Centre, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore 641 003, India
K. Bhuvaneswari
Agro Climate Research Centre, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore 641 003, India
Geethalakshmi Vellingiri
Agro Climate Research Centre, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore 641 003, India
Lakshmanan Arunachalam
Agro Climate Research Centre, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore 641 003, India

Abstract


This study evaluates the impacts of climate change on maize yields in Tamil Nadu, and assesses the efficacy of adaptation strategies, using a novel multi-climate, multi-crop model approach based on AgMIP Protocols (www.agmip.org). While the climate models displayed consistent changes to rainfall and temperature, substantial uncertainty exists between the different climate-crop model responses that warrant further study. Adaptation strategies proved beneficial under a current climate context, but showed diminished efficacy under future climate conditions. We recommend that future work focus on identifying the main sources of climate-crop model uncertainty, and that additional work may focus on more transformative adaptation measures.

Keywords


Adaptation, Climate Change, Crop Model, Climate Model, Maize.



DOI: https://doi.org/10.18520/cs%2Fv110%2Fi7%2F1257-1271