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The Inscrutable Monsoon?


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1 Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru 560 012, India
 

The monsoon of 2016 has been an intriguing one. With two droughts in a row (2014 and 2015) hope was running high for a good monsoon. Indeed, all portents at the beginning of the monsoon appeared to be good. Most major forecasting centres predicted the end of El-Nino, a warming in far-off equatorial Pacific that is known to be associated with weakening of monsoon rainfall, and the return of the La-Nina, the cold phase over equatorial Pacific that has been observed to be associated with higher monsoon rainfall.
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  • Saha, M. et al., Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 2016a; doi:10.1007/s00703-016-0431-7.

  • Saha, M. et al., Theor. Appl. Climatol., 2016b (under revision).


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  • The Inscrutable Monsoon?

Abstract Views: 414  |  PDF Views: 124

Authors

Arindam Chakraborty
Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru 560 012, India

Abstract


The monsoon of 2016 has been an intriguing one. With two droughts in a row (2014 and 2015) hope was running high for a good monsoon. Indeed, all portents at the beginning of the monsoon appeared to be good. Most major forecasting centres predicted the end of El-Nino, a warming in far-off equatorial Pacific that is known to be associated with weakening of monsoon rainfall, and the return of the La-Nina, the cold phase over equatorial Pacific that has been observed to be associated with higher monsoon rainfall.

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.18520/cs%2Fv111%2Fi8%2F1305-1306