Current Science

Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Observed vis-à-vis projected crops yield in India in the context of climate change


Affiliations
1 ICAR-National Institute of Agricultural Economics and Policy Re-search, New Delhi 110 012, India, India
2 Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi 110 012, India, India
 

Agriculture is the most weather-dependent human activity and hence climate change significantly impacts agricultural productivity. In the present study, an attempt has been made to review the existing literature to document and assess the projected crops yield vis-à-vis actual yield of various crops in India. It has been found that most of the studies have projected decline in yield of crops due to climate change up to 2020 and in future. However, actual yield of various crops in India has shown increasing trend till date. Adaptation measures like the release and adoption of new varieties of crops and increase in area under irrigation, use of more chemicals and fertilizers, improved mechanization of agricultural operations, etc. have contributed in enhancing the crop yield. Thus, such measures should be strengthened by the Government for sustainable agriculture
User
Notifications
Font Size

  • Birthal, P. S., Negi, D. S., Kumar, S., Aggarwal, S., Suresh, A. and Khan, T., How sensitive is Indian agriculture to climate change? Indian J. Agric. Econ., 2014, 69(4).

  • Hansen, J. W., Realizing the potential benefits of climate prediction to agriculture: issues, approaches, challenges. Agric. Syst., 2002, 74(3), 309–330.

  • GoI, Agricultural Statistics at a Glance, Directorate of Economics and Statistics, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, Gov-ernment of India, 2021.

  • Berg, A., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Sultan, B., Lengaigne, M. and Guimberteau, M., Projections of climate change impacts on potential C4 crop productivity over tropical regions. Agric. For. Meteorol., 2013, 170, 89–102.

  • Aggarwal, P. K., Joshi, P. K., Ingram, J. S. and Gupta, R. K., Adapting food systems of the Indo-Gangetic plains to global environmental change: key information needs to improve policy formulation. En-viron. Sci. Policy, 2004, 7(6), 487–498.

  • Geethalakshmi, V. et al., Climate change impact assessment and adaptation strategies to sustain rice production in Cauvery basin of Tamil Nadu. Curr. Sci., 2011, 101(3), 342–347.

  • Aggarwal, P. K., Impact of climate change on Indian agriculture. J. Plant Biol., 2003, 30(2), 189–198.

  • Chaudhary, K. N., Oza, M. P. and Ray, S. S., Impact of climate change on yields of major food crops in India. Proc. ISPRS Arch., 2009, 38(8), 1–6.

  • Dubey, S. K. and Sharma, D., Assessment of climate change impact on yield of major crops in the Banas River Basin, India. Sci. Total Environ., 2018, 635, 10–19.

  • Guntukula, R., Assessing the impact of climate change on Indian agriculture: evidence from major crop yields. J. Public Aff., 2020, 20(1), 1–7.

  • Praveen, B. and Sharma, P., Climate change and its impacts on Indian agriculture: an econometric analysis. J. Public Aff., 2020, 20(1), e1972.

  • Jyoti, B. and Singh, A. K., Projected sugarcane yield in different climate change scenarios in Indian states: a state-wise panel data exploration. Int. J. Food Agric. Econ., 2020, 8(4), 343–365.

  • Mohanty, M. et al., Climate change impacts vis-à-vis productivity of soybean in vertisol of Madhya Pradesh. J. Agrometeorol., 2017, 19(1), 10–16.

  • Mall, R. K., Singh, R., Gupta, A., Srinivasan, G. and Rathore, L. S., Impact of climate change on Indian agriculture: a review. Climatic Change, 2006, 78(2), 445–478.

  • Aggarwal, P. K. and Mall, R. K., Climate change and rice yields in diverse agro-environments of India. II. Effect of uncertainties in scenarios and crop models on impact assessment. Climatic Change, 2002, 52(3), 331–343.

  • Aggarwal, P. K. and Sinha, S. K., Effect of probable increase in carbon dioxide and temperature on wheat yields in India. J. Agric. Meteorol., 1993, 48(5), 811–814.

  • Rana, R. S., Chander, N., Sharma, R., Sood, R. U. C. H. I. and Sharma, J. D., Modeling impacts and adaptations of climate change on soybean (Glycine max) production in Himachal Pradesh, India. Indian J. Agric. Sci., 2014, 84(10), 1172–1177.

  • Pathak, H. et al., Trends of climatic potential and on-farm yields of rice and wheat in the Indo-Gangetic Plains. Field Crops Res., 2003, 80(3), 223–234.

  • Rathore, L. S., Singh, K. K., Saseendran, S. A. and Baxla, A. K., Modelling the impact of climate change on rice production in India. Mausam, 2001, 52(1), 263–274.

  • Saseendran, S. A., Singh, K. K., Rathore, L. S., Singh, S. V. and Sinha, S. K., Effects of climate change on rice production in the tropical humid climate of Kerala, India. Climatic Change, 2000, 44(4), 495–514.

  • Sinha, S. K. and Swaminathan, M. S., Deforestation, climate change and sustainable nutrition security: a case study of India. In Tropical Forests and Climate, Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 1991, pp. 201–209.

  • Lal, M., Singh, K. K., Rathore, L. S., Srinivasan, G. and Saseendran, S. A., Vulnerability of rice and wheat yields in NW India to future changes in climate. Agric. For. Meteorol., 1998, 89(2), 101–114.

  • Saravanakumar, V., Impact of climate change on yield of major food crops in Tamil Nadu, India, South Asian Network for Devel-opment and Environmental Economics, Working Paper No. 91-15, 2015; retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ess/wpaper/id7555.html

  • Palanisami, K., Paramasivam, P., Ranganathan, C. R., Aggarwal, P. K. and Senthilnathan, S., Quantifying vulnerability and impact of climate change on production of major crops in Tamil Nadu, India. In Headwaters to the Ocean–Hydrological Change and Watershed Management, 2009, pp. 509–551.

  • Abeysingha, N. S., Singh, M., Islam, A. and Sehgal, V. K., Climate change impacts on irrigated rice and wheat production in Gomti River basin of India: a case study. SpringerPlus, 2016, 5(1), 1–20.

  • Lakshmanan, A. et al., Climate change adaptation strategies in the Bhavani Basin using the SWAT model. Appl. Eng. Agric., 2011, 27(6), 887–893.

  • Kumar, S. and Sidana, B. K., Impact of climate change on the pro-ductivity of rice and wheat crops in Punjab. Econ. Polit. Wkly, 2019, 54(46), 38–44.

  • Soora, N. K., Aggarwal, P. K., Saxena, R., Rani, S., Jain, S. and Chauhan, N., An assessment of regional vulnerability of rice to cli-mate change in India. Climatic Change, 2013, 118(3), 683–699.

  • Haris, A. A., Biswas, S. and Chhabra, V., Climate change impacts on productivity of rice (Oryza sativa) in Bihar. Indian J. Agron., 2020, 55(4), 295–298.

  • Mendelsohn, R. and Dinar, A., Climate change, agriculture, and developing countries: does adaptation matter? World Bank Res. Observ., 1999, 14(2), 277–293.

  • Kelkar, S. M., Kulkarni, A. and Rao, K. K., Impact of climate vari-ability and change on crop production in Maharashtra, India. Curr. Sci., 2020, 118(8), 1235–1245.

  • Singh, A. K. and Jyoti, B., Projected food-grain production and yield in India: an evidence from state-wise panel data investigation during 1977–2014. J. Agric. Sci. – Sri Lanka, 2021, 16(1), 108–125.

  • Singh, A. K. and Sharma, P., Measuring the productivity of food-grain crops in different climate change scenarios in India: an evi-dence from time series investigation. Climate Change, 2018, 4(16), 661–673.

  • Birthal, P. S., Khan, T., Negi, D. S. and Aggarwal, S., Impact of climate change on yields of major food crops in India: implications for food security. Agric. Econ. Res. Rev., 2014, 27(2), 145–155.

  • Kumar, S. N., Govindakrishnan, P. M., Swarooparani, D. N., Nitin, C., Surabhi, J. and Aggarwal, P. K., Assessment of impact of climate change on potato and potential adaptation gains in the Indo-Gangetic Plains of India. Int. J. Plant Prod., 2015, 9(1), 151–170.

  • Kumar, S. N., Aggarwal, P. K., Rani, S., Jain, S., Saxena, R. and Chauhan, N., Impact of climate change on crop productivity in Western Ghats, coastal and northeastern regions of India. Curr. Sci., 2011, 101(3), 332–341.

  • Aggarwal, P. K., Global climate change and Indian agriculture: im-pacts, adaptation and mitigation. Indian J. Agric. Sci., 2008, 78(11), 911.

  • Singh, N. P., Singh, S., Anand, B. and Ranjith, P. C., Assessing the impact of climate change on crop yields in Gangetic Plains Region, India. J. Agrometeorol., 2019, 21(4), 452–461.

  • Kumar, S. N., Aggarwal, P. K., Rani, D. S., Saxena, R., Chauhan, N. and Jain, S., Vulnerability of wheat production to climate change in India. Climate Res., 2014, 59(3), 173–187.

  • Suresh, A. and Samuel, M. P., Micro-irrigation development in India: challenges and strategies. Curr. Sci., 2020, 118(8), 1163–1168.

  • Modi, R. U. et al., Climate-smart technology based farm mechani-zation for enhanced input use efficiency. ICAR-National Academy of Agricultural Research and Management, 2020.

  • Srinivasarao, C., Srinivas, T., Rao, R. V. S., Rao, N. S., Vinayagam, S. S. and Krishnan, P., Climate change and Indian agriculture: chal-lenges and adaptation strategies. ICAR-National Academy of Agri-cultural Research Management, Hyderabad, 2020, p. 584; ISBN No. 978-81-943090-7-9.

  • Singh, S. P. and Singh, S., Farm power availability and its perspec-tive in Indian agriculture. RASSA J. Sci. Soc., 2021, 3(2), 114–126.

  • NICRA, Strategic research component of NICRA, ICAR-National Institute of Agricultural Economics and Policy Research, New Delhi, 2021.

  • GoI, Land Use Statistics at a Glance 2000–01 to 2018–19, Direc-torate of Economics and Statistics, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, Government of India, 2021.

  • DRR, Various annual reports, 2010–11, 2011–12, 2012–13, 2013–14. Directorate of Rice Research, Hyderabad, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014.

  • IIRR, Various annual reports, 2014–15, 2015–16, 2017–18, 2018–19. Indian Institute of Rice Research, Hyderabad, 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019.

  • DARE–ICAR, Various annual reports, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2019–20. Department of Agricultural Research and Education-Indian Council of Agricultural Research (DARE-ICAR), Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, GoI, 2018, 2019, 2020.


Abstract Views: 176

PDF Views: 114




  • Observed vis-à-vis projected crops yield in India in the context of climate change

Abstract Views: 176  |  PDF Views: 114

Authors

Nalini Ranjan Kumar
ICAR-National Institute of Agricultural Economics and Policy Re-search, New Delhi 110 012, India, India
Shilpi Kapoor
ICAR-National Institute of Agricultural Economics and Policy Re-search, New Delhi 110 012, India, India
S. K. Srivastava
ICAR-National Institute of Agricultural Economics and Policy Re-search, New Delhi 110 012, India, India
Naveen P. Singh
Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi 110 012, India, India

Abstract


Agriculture is the most weather-dependent human activity and hence climate change significantly impacts agricultural productivity. In the present study, an attempt has been made to review the existing literature to document and assess the projected crops yield vis-à-vis actual yield of various crops in India. It has been found that most of the studies have projected decline in yield of crops due to climate change up to 2020 and in future. However, actual yield of various crops in India has shown increasing trend till date. Adaptation measures like the release and adoption of new varieties of crops and increase in area under irrigation, use of more chemicals and fertilizers, improved mechanization of agricultural operations, etc. have contributed in enhancing the crop yield. Thus, such measures should be strengthened by the Government for sustainable agriculture

References





DOI: https://doi.org/10.18520/cs%2Fv124%2Fi1%2F18-25