Forecasting the Distribution of Heavy Metals in Soil and Groundwater near Municipal Solid Waste Dumpsites Using Linear Regression

The levels of heavy metals are measured at different dumpsites with different distances and directions under the jurisdiction of Greater Municipal Corporation of Hyderabad for ascertaining the soil and groundwater quality and forecasting as a part of integrated municipal solid waste (MSW) management study. The datasets indicate a steady decrease in the concentrations of ions and heavy metals in groundwater with distance from the MSW dumpsites. Similar trends are observed for the levels of heavy metals in soil at dump sites around the MSW dumpsite. In this study, we have used both linear and quadratic regression to predict water and soil constituents. As the datasets on the components of solid waste and groundwater are limited, the desired level of forecasting accuracy could not be achieved. However, for some components the results are promising. This study suggests that improvement can be achieved by removing the outliers from the dataset. If the errors are large for a component, it would mean that we need a better way of separation of this component from the waste.