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Performance of ANN for Rainfall-Runoff Prediction


Affiliations
1 Department of Soil and Water Conservation Engineering, College of Agricultural Engineering and Technology, Dr. Balasaheb Sawant Konkan Krishi Vidyapeeth, Dapoli (M.S.), India
     

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The use of artificial neural network is becoming increasingly common in the analysis of hydrology and water resource problems. In present study, the observed rainfall and runoff data of four years (2010, 2011, 2013 and 2014) were used as input data. In ANN, input data was divided in three segment 70 per cent, 15 per cent and 15 per cent for training, validation and testing purpose, respectively. Rainfall-runoff relationship is an important component in water resource evaluation and therefore, the predicted runoff of 70 numbers of different types of model was tested statistically with observed runoff using statistical parameter, i.e. ischolar_main mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), co-efficient of determination (R2) and correlation (r). This study showed that out of 70 ANN architectures, ANN architectures 1-48-1 could be adopted to estimate runoff from ungauged watershed with rainfall as input.

Keywords

ANN, Rainfall-Runoff Modeling, Co-Efficient of Determination, Correlation.
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  • Performance of ANN for Rainfall-Runoff Prediction

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Authors

S. K. Kothe
Department of Soil and Water Conservation Engineering, College of Agricultural Engineering and Technology, Dr. Balasaheb Sawant Konkan Krishi Vidyapeeth, Dapoli (M.S.), India
B. L. Ayare
Department of Soil and Water Conservation Engineering, College of Agricultural Engineering and Technology, Dr. Balasaheb Sawant Konkan Krishi Vidyapeeth, Dapoli (M.S.), India
H. N. Bhange
Department of Soil and Water Conservation Engineering, College of Agricultural Engineering and Technology, Dr. Balasaheb Sawant Konkan Krishi Vidyapeeth, Dapoli (M.S.), India
S. B. Nandgude
Department of Soil and Water Conservation Engineering, College of Agricultural Engineering and Technology, Dr. Balasaheb Sawant Konkan Krishi Vidyapeeth, Dapoli (M.S.), India
D. M. Mahale
Department of Soil and Water Conservation Engineering, College of Agricultural Engineering and Technology, Dr. Balasaheb Sawant Konkan Krishi Vidyapeeth, Dapoli (M.S.), India

Abstract


The use of artificial neural network is becoming increasingly common in the analysis of hydrology and water resource problems. In present study, the observed rainfall and runoff data of four years (2010, 2011, 2013 and 2014) were used as input data. In ANN, input data was divided in three segment 70 per cent, 15 per cent and 15 per cent for training, validation and testing purpose, respectively. Rainfall-runoff relationship is an important component in water resource evaluation and therefore, the predicted runoff of 70 numbers of different types of model was tested statistically with observed runoff using statistical parameter, i.e. ischolar_main mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), co-efficient of determination (R2) and correlation (r). This study showed that out of 70 ANN architectures, ANN architectures 1-48-1 could be adopted to estimate runoff from ungauged watershed with rainfall as input.

Keywords


ANN, Rainfall-Runoff Modeling, Co-Efficient of Determination, Correlation.

References