Open Access
Subscription Access
Modeling and Designing of Rainfall Derivative Contract in India
There has been a prolonged discussion on the use of rainfall derivatives in the Indian conditions. The use of rainfall derivative instruments that could empower the ecosystem of trading and absorbing rainfall risk. The study adopted a unique approach of designing the rainfall indexation based on proposed metrics which is DRD/ERD index, this could be used as building blocks for designing rainfall derivatives similar to HDDs/CDDs underlying temperature derivatives. DRD/ERD values are computed for 36 meteorological subdivisions of India. The basic rainfall future contract structure is defined and analyse how it can reduce the rainfall risk. Like CAT bonds and weather derivatives, rainfall derivatives constitute potentially a distinct asset class and hence could be an added arsenal in the hands of investors for enriching their portfolios.
Keywords
Rainfall risk, Indexation, Rainfall Derivatives, Deficit, Excess, Rainy Days.
User
Font Size
Information
- Basu, M. (2016) Weather risk management through weather derivatives- A study with special reference to Indian power sector. (Doctoral dissertation, University of Calcutta). Retrieved from https://shodhganga.inflibnet.ac.in/handle/10603/184516
- Choksi, A. (2012). Emergence of weather derivatives-feasibility in Indian context. Zenith International Journal of Business Economics & Management Research, 2(5), 139-152.
- Kotreshwar G., (2006), Managing monsoon risk in India: Why not monsoon derivatives?, The ICFAI Journal of Derivatives Markets, 2006, July, vol 3, no 3, pp 76-83
- Kotreshwar G., and Kanakasabai, M., (2006), “Design and pricing of Monsoon Derivatives: A conceptual frame work”, A paper presented at international conference of Asia Pacific Risk & Insurance Association (APRIA).
- Kotreshwar, G., & Arunkumar, R. (2006). Monsoon Risk Securitisation: Monsoon Options on Select Met Subdivisions.10th Capital Markets Conference, Indian Institute of Capital Markets Paper.
- Kotreshwar, G., (2015). Securitisation of Rainfall Risk in India: Designing Rainfall Derivative Contracts Based on Standard Metrics. Paper presented in International Conference on Emerging Trends in Finance Accounting, SDM-IMD, Mysuru.
- Mußhoff, O., Odening, M., & Xu, W. (2006). Modeling and Pricing Rain Risk Modeling and Pricing Rain Risk. Weather, 49(0), 0–19.
- Musshoff, O., Odening, M., & Xu, W. (2011). Management of climate risks in agriculture -will weather derivatives permeate? Applied Economics, 43(9), 1067–1077. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840802600210
- National Commodity and Derivative Exchange .(2020). NCDEX Rainfall Index. Retrived from https://ncdex.com/weather
- Odening, M., Musshoff, O., & Xu, W. (2007). Analysis of rainfall derivatives using daily precipitation models: Opportunities and pitfalls. Agricultural Finance Review, 67(1), 135–156. https://doi.org/10.1108 /0021 466078 0001202
- Seth, R., Ansari, V.A., and Datta, M., (2009), “Weather-risk hedging by farmers: an empirical study of willingness-to-pay in Rajasthan, India”, The Journal of Risk Finance, Vol. 10 No. 1, pp. 54-66.
- Shah, A. (2017). Pricing of Rainfall Derivatives Using Generalized Linear Modelling of Daily Rainfall Process. International Agricultural Risk, Finance and Insurance Conference (IARFIC) 2017 Paris meetings paper.
- Shivkumar, D., & Kotrshwar, G. (2013). Trading in weather risk transfer products– Reengineering rainfall indexation. International Journal of Business and Management Invention, 2(11), 33-41.
- Shivkumar, D.P (2014). Weather risk management in India- Feasibility of monsoon (rainfall) derivatives as an ART (Alternative Risk Transfer) instrument (Doctoral dissertation, University of Mysore). Retrieved from http://shodhganga.inflibnet.ac.in:8080/jspui/handle/10603/72545#
- Skees, J. R., & Barnett, B. J. (1999). Conceptual and practical considerations for sharing catastrophic/systemic risks. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 21(2), 424-441.
- Skees, Jerry; Gober, Stephanie; Varangis, Panos; Lester, Rodney; Kalavakonda, Vijay. 2001. Developing Rainfall-Based Index Insurance in Morocco. Policy Research Working Paper; No. 2577. World Bank, Washington, DC. © World Bank. https://openknowledge. worldbank. org/handle/10986/19674 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO
- Sutanuka Ghosal (2020, June 9) NCDEX to publish two rainfall-based indices on Wednesday. The Economic Times. Retrived from https://economictimes.Indiatimes. com/markets/commodities/news/ncdex-to-publish-two-rainfall-based-indices-on-Wednesday/articleshow/7628519
- Turvey, C. G. (2001). Weather Derivatives for Specific Event Risks in Agriculture. Review of Agricultural Economics, 23(2), 333–351. https: //doi.org/10.1111/1467-9353.00065
- Vivek Patni (2008). Mitigating Agri-Business Risk through Weather Derivatives. Indian Journal of Finance, 2(6), 12-18. Retrieved from http://www.Indianjournaloffinance.co.in/index.php/IJF/article/view/71651
- Woodard, J. D., & Garcia, P. (2008). Basis risk and weather hedging effectiveness. Agricultural Finance Review, 68(1), 99–117. https://doi.org/10.1108/00214 660880001221
Abstract Views: 426
PDF Views: 0