Are Financial Markets Co-Integrated During Economic Crisis: An Empirical Study on the Indian Capital Market?

This paper examines whether the futures market and the spot market are co-integrated during the time of economic crisis. The study was done on the Nifty Spot index and Nifty Futures index for the period 1^st August 2007 to 31^st December 2008. The lead-lag relationship was analyzed by the ECM model. The result suggest that even at the time of economic crisis both the markets are co-integrated but no specific leadlag relationship exists between the market. Granger causality test also gave similar evidences that there is no causal relationship between the Nifty spot index and Nifty futures index.