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Non-Linearity and Chaotic Behaviour in Cyprus Stock Market


Affiliations
1 Technological Educational Institute of Technological Institute of Stereas Elladas, Department of Accounting and Finance, Psahna Evoia, Greece
     

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The intention of this research is to investigate the aspect of non-linearity and chaotic behaviour of the Cyprus stock market. For this purpose, we use non-linearity and chaos theory. We perform BDS, Hinich-Bispectral tests and compute Lyapunov exponent of the Cyprus General index. The results show that existence of non-linear dependence and chaotic features as the maximum Lyapunov exponent was found to be positive. This study is important because chaos and efficient market hypothesis are mutually exclusive aspects. The efficientmarket hypothesis which requires returns to be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) cannot be accepted.

Keywords

Efficient Market Hypothesis, Nonlinear Dependence, Chaos in Financial Time-Series, C01, C12, D53, G14, F65.
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  • Non-Linearity and Chaotic Behaviour in Cyprus Stock Market

Abstract Views: 254  |  PDF Views: 1

Authors

Athina Bougioukou
Technological Educational Institute of Technological Institute of Stereas Elladas, Department of Accounting and Finance, Psahna Evoia, Greece

Abstract


The intention of this research is to investigate the aspect of non-linearity and chaotic behaviour of the Cyprus stock market. For this purpose, we use non-linearity and chaos theory. We perform BDS, Hinich-Bispectral tests and compute Lyapunov exponent of the Cyprus General index. The results show that existence of non-linear dependence and chaotic features as the maximum Lyapunov exponent was found to be positive. This study is important because chaos and efficient market hypothesis are mutually exclusive aspects. The efficientmarket hypothesis which requires returns to be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) cannot be accepted.

Keywords


Efficient Market Hypothesis, Nonlinear Dependence, Chaos in Financial Time-Series, C01, C12, D53, G14, F65.