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Forecasting Daily Maximum Temperature of Chennai using Nonlinear Prediction Approach


Affiliations
1 The Research and Development Centre, Bharathiar University, Coimbatore - 641046, Tamil Nadu, India
2 Postgraduate Research Department, The American College, Madurai - 625002, Tamil Nadu, India
3 Department of physics, Presidency College, Chennai - 600005, Tamil Nadu, India
 

In recent years numerous research were made to are expecting the weather especially the most temperature of a location. The urban regions are the maximum vulnerable regions which can be tormented by the increase in the temperature. The prevailing paper is geared toward quantifying the trade inside the surface air temperature at the most populated metropolitan town Chennai. The town has experienced rapid urbanization in the latest beyond. The principle objective of the paper is to broaden a forecast model for max temperature of the metropolis. The nonlinear nature of the temperature time series is analysed the usage of the lyapunov exponent. The effects of lyapunov exponent shows that there is chaos present inside the time collection facts. This gives a terrific foundation for the choosing reasonable forecasting version along with the segment area reconstruction strategies proposed via farmer forecast the temperature all through the summer season months.

Keywords

Chaos, Lyapunov Exponent, Phase Space Reconstruction.
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  • Forecasting Daily Maximum Temperature of Chennai using Nonlinear Prediction Approach

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Authors

P. Indira
The Research and Development Centre, Bharathiar University, Coimbatore - 641046, Tamil Nadu, India
S. Stephen Rajkumar Inbanathan
Postgraduate Research Department, The American College, Madurai - 625002, Tamil Nadu, India
R. Samuel Selvaraj
Department of physics, Presidency College, Chennai - 600005, Tamil Nadu, India
A. Antony Suresh
Department of physics, Presidency College, Chennai - 600005, Tamil Nadu, India

Abstract


In recent years numerous research were made to are expecting the weather especially the most temperature of a location. The urban regions are the maximum vulnerable regions which can be tormented by the increase in the temperature. The prevailing paper is geared toward quantifying the trade inside the surface air temperature at the most populated metropolitan town Chennai. The town has experienced rapid urbanization in the latest beyond. The principle objective of the paper is to broaden a forecast model for max temperature of the metropolis. The nonlinear nature of the temperature time series is analysed the usage of the lyapunov exponent. The effects of lyapunov exponent shows that there is chaos present inside the time collection facts. This gives a terrific foundation for the choosing reasonable forecasting version along with the segment area reconstruction strategies proposed via farmer forecast the temperature all through the summer season months.

Keywords


Chaos, Lyapunov Exponent, Phase Space Reconstruction.



DOI: https://doi.org/10.17485/ijst%2F2016%2Fv9i39%2F125523